RW,
Lets follow the storm. I got to post a discussion anyway.
At 12:30 the broad center of Tropical storm Fay was off-shore of Cuba by about 60 miles. Most of the convection was East North East of the center with dry down-slope evident in the southwest quadrant. Maximum sustained winds of 60 mph at flight level 900 ft will extrapolate to 50 mph. Expect maximum sustained winds in convective bands of 60 mph north and east of the center.
Forecast:
Expect North Northwest movement with a slow down in forward speed next 12-24 hours. Will monitor storm for possible rapid development late afternoon as the center moves into Keys. Weak steering currents along with Building surface ridge and departing mid level trof could develop col over the area with weak mid and upper-level winds
Fredrick
